A targeted analysis of the period from January to March identifies 4.5 million citizens living in high-risk areas, including 1.8 million people residing in crisis zones in the Northwest, Southwest, and Far North. The remaining 2.6 million inhabitants live in stable localities, representing 13% of the population in these preserved sectors. The national vulnerability rate fluctuated between 22% in January and 16% in February, while one in five households suffers from regular deprivation in peaceful areas.

Strengthening targeted social safety nets will support the subsistence consumption of modest households. Regulating prices in urban markets will limit the deterioration of the purchasing power of workers in the informal sector. Direct financial support to rural producer groups will secure the volumes of crops delivered to distribution centers.

The persistence of inflationary tensions on basic commodities reduces the precautionary savings of middle-class families. The contraction of consumption budgets restricts the commercial outlets of small retailers. The inability of local producers to smooth their income over the seasons maintains a high level of debt in rural areas.


Asaba