Such a revaluation, although favorable for the final transactions of the season, remains derisory compared to the initial expectations of farmers and breaks the momentum of the two previous years, marked by record remuneration.

The satisfaction of producers remains measured due to the comparison with the gains of previous seasons. The sector remembers the 2024-2025 period, characterized by a peak of 5,400 FCFA per kilogram, and the 2023-2024 campaign where prices had reached 6,000 FCFA in several production areas. Such prosperity had led the government to predict prices ranging from 3,200 to 5,400 FCFA for the current harvest. Reality shows a severe shortfall: current prices are experiencing a 62% decline compared to last year's peak and about two-thirds compared to the 2024 historical record.

The disconnect highlights the strong dependence of local shipments on international exchange mechanisms. The tensions on global supply that supported the price surge are fading in favor of a return to production surpluses on a global scale. The slowdown in industrial demand from major global grinders and the replenishment of bean stocks explain the decline in prices. The international market is experiencing a phase of relaxation that deprives producing countries of their usual negotiating leverage.

Even if the recognized quality of Cameroonian cocoa and the rivalry between local exporters allow for a preservation of a purchase floor above 2,000 FCFA, the resistance capacity of national buyers remains limited in the face of arbitrages from external financial markets. The late rise in tariffs will accompany the last sales flows in the villages, but proves insufficient to rectify the accounting balance of an agricultural year that is overall disappointing for the family budgets of rural areas.


Asaba